Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1549; (P) 1.1580 (R1) 1.1599; More…..
Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains cautiously on the downside for the moment. Prior break of 1.1574 minor support is tentatively treated as sign of downside breakout and down trend resumption. Deeper fall would be seen to retest 1.1507 support. Break there will resume larger down trend from 1.2555 through retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447. On the upside, however, above 1.1610 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and extend the consolidation from 1.1509 with another rebound instead.
In the bigger picture, EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 and below. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 1.1995 resistance holds.