AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7351; (P) 0.7372; (R1) 0.7400; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned neutral again s with the current recovery. On the upside, break of 0.7408 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming. In this case, stronger recovery could be seen to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.7456) and above. But upside should be limited well below 0.7676 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7346 will extend recent fall from 0.8135 to 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326). Firm break of 0.7382 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8135 to 0.7411 from 0.7676 at 0.7229 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. Prior break of 0.7500 key support suggests that such correction is completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption eventually.

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