Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1745; (P) 1.1773 (R1) 1.1822; More…..
Outlook in EUR/USD remains unchanged. It’s staying in tight range of 1.1713/1839 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, break of 1.1839 will extend the rebound from 1.1509. But as it’s seen as a correction, upside should be limited by 1.1995 resistance to bring reversal. On the downside, break of 1.1713 will argue that such correction is finished. Intraday bias would then be turned back to the downside to resume larger fall from 1.2555, through 1.1509 to 50% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447.
In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 and below. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 1.1995 resistance holds.
