Elliott Wave Daily

Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Sell at 1.3115


USD/CAD - 1.2983

Recent wave: Only wave v of c has ended at 0.9407 and wave C of major A-B-C correction is underway for headway to 1.4700

Trend:  Near term down

Original strategy       :

Sell at 1.3115, Target: 1.2915, Stop: 1.3175

Position: -

Target:  -

Stop: -

New strategy             :

Sell at 1.3115, Target: 1.2915, Stop: 1.3175

Position: -

Target:  -


As the greenback has rebounded after brief fall to 1.2912, suggesting at least a minor wave iii trough was formed there, hence consolidation with initial upside bias is seen for test of resistance at 1.3015, break there would add credence to this view, bring retracement of recent decline to 1.3075-80, however, reckon 1.3115-20 would limit upside and bring another decline later, below support at 1.2912 would extend the fall from 1.3794 top (wave c of larger degree wave b top) to 1.2895-00 but loss of momentum should limit downside to 1.2870 and reckon 1.2850 would hold from here.

In view of this, would not chase this fall here and would be prudent to sell the pair again on recovery as 1.3115-20 should limit upside. Above 1.3160-70 would defer and suggest low is formed, bring a stronger rebound to 1.3215-20 and possibly towards 1.3260-65 but only break there would abort and signal a temporary low is formed instead, then test of resistance at 1.3308 would follow.

To recap, wave B from 1.3066 is unfolding as an a-b-c and is sub-divided as a: 1.2192, b: 1.2716 and wave c is a 5-waver with i: 1.1983, ii: 1.2506, extended wave iii with minor iii at 1.0206, wave iv ended at 1.0781 and wave v as well as wave iii has ended at 0.9931, hence the subsequent choppy trading is the wave iv which is unfolding as (a)-(b)-(c) with (a) leg of iv ended at 1.0854, followed by (b) leg at 1.0108 and (c) leg as well as the wave iv ended at 1.0674. The wave v is sub-divided by minor wave (i): 0.9980, (ii): 1.0374, (iii): 0.9446, (iv): 0.9913 and (v) as well as v has possibly ended at 0.9407, therefore, consolidation with upside bias is seen for major correction, indicated target at 1.3700 and 1.4000 had been met and further gain to 1.4700 would be seen later.

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