AUD/USD – 0.7463
Recent wave: Wave 5 ended at 1.1081 and major correction has commenced for fall to 0.7000 and then towards 0.6500-10
Trend: Near term down
Original strategy :
Buy at 0.7420, Target: 0.7570, Stop: 0.7360
Position: –
Target:Â –
Stop: –
New strategy :
Buy at 0.7405, Target: 0.7570, Stop: 0.7345
Position: –
Target:Â –
Stop:-
As aussie has retreated after meeting resistance at 0.7518, suggesting minor consolidation below this level would be seen and pullback to 0.7420-25 cannot be ruled out, however, if our view that low has been formed at 0.7329 is correct, downside should be limited to 0.7400-05 and bring another rebound later, above said resistance at 0.7518 would extend the rise from 0.7329 low to resistance at 0.7556, having said that, a break above there is needed to provide confirmation, bring subsequent rise towards 0.7595-00.
In view of this, we are looking to buy aussie on dips as 0.7400-10 should limit downside and bring another rise. A break of support at 0.7388 would abort and signal top is formed, bring further fall to 0.7360 but said recent low at 0.7329 should remain intact. Only a drop below this support at 0.7329 would abort and signal recent decline has resumed and extend weakness to 0.7295-00 (76.4% retracement of 0.7158-0.7750).Â
On the 4-hour chart, the move from 0.8066 is the wave 5 with i: 0.8860, ii: 0.8315, wave iii is an extended move ended at 1.0183, iv: 0.9706 and wave v has ended at 1.1081 (also the top of entire wave 5). The subsequent selloff is the major correction which is unfolding as ABC-X-ABC and 2nd A leg has ended at 0.8848, followed by a-b-c wave B which ended at 0.9758, hence, 2nd C wave is now in progress and indicated downside target at 0.7000 and 0.6950 had been met, so further fall to 0.6710-20 cannot be ruled out.
