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Trade Idea Wrap-up: EUR/USD – Buy at 1.1325

EUR/USD – 1.1368

Most recent candlesticks pattern   : N/A

Trend                      : Near term up

Tenkan-Sen level              : 1.1385

Kijun-Sen level                  : 1.1393

Ichimoku cloud top             : 1.1418

Ichimoku cloud bottom      : 1.1369

Original strategy  :

Buy at 1.1330, Target: 1.1440, Stop: 1.1295

Position : –

Target :  –

Stop : –

New strategy  :

Buy at 1.1325, Target: 1.1440, Stop: 1.1290

Position : –

Target :  –

Stop : –

As the single currency met resistance at 1.1446 late last week and has retreated, suggesting consolidation below this level would be seen and pullback to 1.1350 cannot be ruled out, however, reckon 1.1325-30 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.1139-1.1446) would limit downside and bring another rise later, above said resistance at 1.1446 would extend recent rise to 1.1455-60 (61.8% projection of 1.1119-1.1389 measuring from 1.1292), then 1.1480 but overbought condition should prevent sharp move beyond 1.1500, risk from there has increased for a retreat later.

In view of this, would not chase this rise here and would be prudent to buy euro on pullback as 1.1325-30 should limit upside. Below 1.1292 (previous support as well as 50% Fibonacci retracement of 1.1139-1.1446) would abort and signal a temporary top is formed, bring correction to 1.1255-60 later.

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