USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.11; (P) 112.73; (R1) 113.42; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment and some consolidations could be seen above 112.04 temporary low. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet. But choppy decline is from 118.65 is seen as a corrective move. Hence, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 111.13 to contain downside an bring rebound. On the upside, above 115.36 resistance will argue that such correction is finished and turn bias to the upside for 118.65. Break will resume whole rise from 98.97 and target 125.85 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. The impulsive structure of the rise from 98.97 suggests that the correction is completed and larger up trend is resuming. Decisive break of 125.85 will confirm and target 61.8% projection of 75.56 to 125.85 from 98.97 at 130.04 and then 135.20 long term resistance. Rejection from 125.85 and below will extend the consolidation with another falling leg before up trend resumption.

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