Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3314; (P) 1.3356; (R1) 1.3425; More….
USD/CAD rebounded strongly after defending 1.3263 support but it’s held below 1.3413 resistance so far. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Fall from 1.3534 is seen as a correction, no change in this view. On the upside, break of 1.3413 will argue that such correction is completed and turn bias back to the upside for 1.3534 and above. On the downside, below 1.3263 will bring deeper fall. But we’d expect strong support from 1.3211 cluster level (61.8% retracement of 1.3008 to 1.3534 at 1.3209) to contain downside and bring rebound.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. Break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring at retest of 1.2460 low. However, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.
