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EURUSD Outlook

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Typography

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1406; (P) 1.1442 (R1) 1.1503; More.....

EUR/USD drops sharply after hitting 1.1489 earlier today and intraday bias is turned neutral. On the downside, break of 1.1382 will suggest short term topping, possibly on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. In such case, lengthier consolidation would be seen before another rally. EUR/USD would dip back to 1.1312 support and below. On the upside, above 1.1489 will extend recent rise from 1.0339 low to 1.1615 resistance.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 1.1298 resistance further affirm medium term reversal. That is an important bottom was formed at 1.0339 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Further rise would be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 1.1763). Sustained break there will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1118 support holds.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart