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EURUSD Outlook

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0934; (P) 1.0962 (R1) 1.1001; More....

EUR/USD's rally accelerates further today and reaches as high as 1.1073 so far. 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0569 at 1.1058 is already met and there is no sign of topping. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 138.2% projection at 1.1245, which is close to 1.1298 key resistance. For now, rise from 1.0339 is still viewed as a corrective move. Hence we'd expect strong resistance below 1.1245/98 to limit upside and bring reversal. On the downside, below 1.0989 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation. But break of 1.0838 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. However, considering bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD, break of 1.1298 will indicate long term reversal.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart