EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.77; (P) 118.27; (R1) 118.54; More…

With 119.31 support turned resistance intact, deeper fall is expected in EUR/JPY. Current development suggests that medium term rise from 109.20 has completed at 124.08 already. Below 117.42 will target 61.8% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 114.88 next. Nonetheless, sustained break of 119.31 will turn focus back to 120.43 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39 indicates that medium term rise from 109.20 is completed at 124.08. That’s well below 126.09 key support turned resistance. Also, EUR/JPY failed to sustain above 55 week EMA. Deeper decline would now be seen back to 109.20 low. Overall, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is not completed yet. Break of 109.20 will resume such down trend towards 94.11 low. In any case, break of 126.09 is needed needed to confirm medium term reversal.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

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