EUR/JPY’s rally extended to as high as 124.04 last week, just inch below 124.08 resistance. The development confirmed that rise from 109.03 is resuming. Further rally is expected this week for 126.09 resistance next.
Initial bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside this week. Break of 124.08 will resume whole rise from 109.03 and target 126.09 key resistance next. Break there will pave the way to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89. On the downside, below 122.92 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring retreat first.
In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.
In the long term picture, medium term decline from 149.76 is seen as part of a long term sideway pattern from 88.96. We’re not seeing any sign of an established long term trend yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on strong support at 94.11 in case of another fall. Also, there could be strong resistance at 149.76 in case of a medium term rise.
