Asian stocks tumble broadly today on concern of an outbreak of a coronavirus in China, as well as other countries in the region. China’s National Health Commission already confirmed that the virus which causes a type of pneumonia, can pass from person-to-person. That couldn’t come at the worst time as massive number of people are expected to travel within China before Lunar New Year.
According to a report by London Imperial College’s MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, it’s estimated that there were already over 1700 cases in Wuhan city by January 12. Such estimate was not commented by the Chinese authorities yet. But there were already cases reported by Thailand, Japan and South Korea, involving people from from Wuhan or who recently visited the city.
The virus is believed to be in the same family of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS), which killed nearly 800 people during an outbreak in 2003, starting in China and spread to Hong Kong. The World Health Organization (WHO) said yesterday that the primary source of the outbreak appeared to be an animal and some “limited human-to-human transmission” occurred between close contacts. WHO also called for an emergence committee on Wednesday to assess the situation.
Hong Kong HSI is gaps lower today and is currently down more than -2%. Technically, a short term top is formed at 29174.92 and deeper pull back could be seen. Initial support is expected at around 55 day EMA (now at 27708). Rebound from 24899.93 could still extend higher. However, sustained break of the EMA would turn outlook bearish and HSI could head back towards 24899.93 support in that case.
