Risk-On Sentiment Regains Control as Data Downplays Severity of Tariff Shock
Global risk sentiment continued to improve last week, with major equity indices staging robust rallies as investor anxiety over the fallout from tariffs eased. The solid US non-farm payroll data was a key turning point, reassuring markets that the early economic impact of the trade shock was not as...
Markets Cheer Solid NFP, Tariff Fallout Appears Milder Than Feared
Risk assets are rallying to end the week as investors take comfort in the stronger-than-expected US non-farm payroll report. The data helped to offset recession concerns after surprise Q1 GDP contraction. While the GDP miss raised alarms, it was largely attributed to a surge in imports ahead of the...
Markets Lifted by US-China Trade Thaw Hopes, But All Eyes on US Jobs Report
Markets trade on a cautiously optimistic in Asian session, supported by fresh signs that US-China trade tensions may be starting to thaw. China's Commerce Ministry said the US has repeatedly expressed interest in reopening negotiations, adding that Beijing is "evaluating" these overtures. This marks the most constructive public tone...
FX Markets Hold Range While Yen Extends Slide
Yen weakness remains the dominant theme in an otherwise range-bound forex market today. While all other major pairs and crosses are contained within yesterday’s trading range, the Japanese currency continues to lose ground as traders react to BoJ’s dovish tone. Governor Kazuo Ueda attempted to soften the impact of...
Yen Slides as BoJ Slashes Growth Outlook; Investor Resilience Faces ISM Test
Yen weakened broadly today following the BoJ’s decision to leave interest rates unchanged, while significantly downgrading its growth projections for the current fiscal year. Inflation outlook was also softened, with risks of undershooting the 2% target increased, albeit slightly.
This backdrop suggests that while BoJ remains on a slow tightening...
Risk Sentiment Sours on US GDP Contraction, Recession Fears Mount
Risk sentiment soured as US session commenced after data showed the economy unexpectedly contracted in the first quarter. Although the decline was heavily influenced by a surge in imports, which mechanically subtract from GDP calculations, the result still serves as a stark reminder that economic momentum was already faltering...
Markets Ignores Trade News Ahead of Data Barrage; Aussie Outperforms
Global financial markets are largely steady ahead of a packed economic calendar, with traders bracing for volatility as Eurozone and US GDP figures, as well as US PCE inflation data, are due shortly. Despite negative signals from China’s latest PMI reports, and another round of trade headlines, market reactions...
Aussie Inflation Set to Cement RBA May Cut; Month-End Calm Prevails
The forex markets are generally holding steady today, with all major pairs and crosses bounded within yesterday's range. While month-end lull is at play, caution is also dominating sentiment as traders prepare for a heavy barrage of economic data scheduled from Wednesday through Friday. Key reports include US GDP...
Markets Steady as Trade Headlines Stir Little Reaction
Global trading remains subdued, with Japanese markets closed for Showa holiday and investors showing little urgency to take new positions. Canadian dollar saw some choppiness following election results, where the ruling Liberal Party retained power but fell short of a parliamentary majority. Despite the initial volatility, Loonie remained largely...
Markets Stay Subdued Ahead of Big Data and Earnings; Trade Talks Remain in Focus
Trading remains notably subdued across global financial markets today as investors adopt a cautious stance. On deck are quarterly earnings from four of the "Magnificent Seven"—Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, and Microsoft. On top of that, key releases including US and Eurozone GDP, US non-farm payrolls, and Eurozone CPI flash...
Subdued Start to a Heavy Data Week with Risk Sentiment Holding Steady
Trading was particularly subdued today, even by the quiet standards of a typical Monday in Asia. That’s not surprising, given the near-empty economic calendar offering little to move the markets. Instead, traders are exercising understandable caution ahead of a heavy barrage of important data releases later this week, including...
Global Risk Sentiment Brightens, But Caution Lingers Around US Assets
Global risk sentiment showed further improvement last week, with stock markets around the world posting impressive gains. Although headlines continued to focus on the confusing state of U.S.-China trade tensions, there was quiet but notable progress on multiple trade fronts, including US talks with Japan, South Korea and India.
US...
Markets Steady as US Yields Dip Amid Continuous Tariff Rumors
Global financial markets are relatively stable heading into the end of the week, with risk appetite showing further signs of improvement. European equities are trading modestly higher, following rebounds seen earlier in Japan and Hong Kong. However, US futures are slightly in the red despite strong earnings reports from...
Glimmers of Trade Optimism Lift Asian Markets, But Concrete Progress Still Elusive
There’s a cautious tone of optimism in Asian markets today, though gains are largely concentrated in Japan, South Korea, and Hong Kong. This moderate rally is being supported by a handful of headlines suggesting incremental movement in global trade diplomacy, even if concrete progress remains limited.
One of the more...
Dollar Rebound Stalls as US-China Trade Talks Hit a Wall
The forex markets remain subdued today, with all major pairs and crosses trading inside yesterday's range. After a brief bounce, Dollar’s recovery appears to be losing momentum. While it’s too soon to confirm whether the rebound has fully run its course, fading trade optimism is clearly starting to weigh...
Markets Pause After Relief Rally, Bessent Tempers De-escalation Optimism
Markets are treading water in the Asian session today, with most asset classes trading mixed and within familiar ranges. While US equities closed higher overnight, much of the early gains were pared back, signaling the fragility of the current risk-on mood. The price action reflects what is often seen...
Relief Rally Continues, Yet Fragile Geopolitics May Limit Momentum
Global financial markets are trading with a cautiously positive tone today, with modest gains across Europe and US futures pointing to a higher open. Investor sentiment has improved on the back of US President Donald Trump stepping back from recent aggressive rhetoric—both toward Fed Chair Jerome Powell and on...
Markets Rebound as Trump Softens on Tariffs and Powell, Risk Sentiment Regains Ground
US stock staged a strong rebound overnight, erasing all of Monday’s steep losses as risk sentiment recovered on signs of potential de-escalation in US-China trade conflicts. The sharp reversal in equities was driven by multiple headlines suggesting a thaw in relations, including comments from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent...
Fragile Calm Returns to Markets as Focus Shifts to Fed Remarks
Global markets saw a modest pause in volatility today as risk sentiment stabilized following yesterday’s US selloff. US futures are pointing to a mild recovery, helping to calm nerves in early trading. Meanwhile, US 10-year Treasury yield dipped slightly but remains elevated around 4.4%, reflecting persistent investor caution. Gold...
Dollar Rout Deepens; Gold Charges Toward 3500, or Even 4000?
The broad selloff in US assets resumed overnight as market confidence took another blow from escalating political pressure on Fed. Major US stock indexes ended the session deep in the red, while 10-year Treasury yields surged back above 4.4%. The Dollar Index also plunged to a fresh three-year low,...