Market Overview
Dollar Maintains Dominance as Global Markets Wrestle with Risk Aversion
Dollar is capitalizing on its strong position and extends its rally om Asian session today, as risk aversion grips global markets. US stocks, which initially showed gains overnight, ultimately closed significantly lower as Treasury yields climbed in response to robust economic data. The sentiment continued in Asia, with major...
Strong Retail Sales Spur Brief Dollar Bounce; More Consolidations First?
Dollar bounces slightly in early US trading following unexpectedly strong retail sales data. However, there is no clear follow through buying in the greenback for now. The only exception is USD/JPY which continues to make new 34-year highs. Against others, Dollar might extend its consolidation phase for a while...
Yen Hits 34-Year Low Against Dollar Amid Inaction from Japanese Authorities
The forex markets are primarily focused on Yen's continued broad-based decline as another trading week commences. In particular, the Japanese currency has now reached a new 34-year low against Dollar. Despite frequent official warnings and the expressed readiness to intervene against speculative movements, Japanese authorities have yet to take...
Bets on June Fed Rate Cut Abandoned, Dollar Asserts Dominance
The financial markets were jolted last week by data confirming the stall in disinflation progress in the US. This development prompted traders to quickly revise their expectations regarding Fed's monetary policy, withdrawing bets on a June rate reduction. This shift in sentiment led to strong rise in treasury yields...
Persistent Dollar Rally Accompanied by Yen and Franc Comebacks
Dollar's rally presses on today and extends into early US session, reflecting continued strength even after a period of brief consolidation. Swiss Franc and Japanese Yen are also rebounding notably, indicating a broader trend of currency strength in traditionally safe-haven assets. This pattern is further underscored by the ongoing...
Dollar Holds Gains, Gold Hits Record, Sterling Awaits UK GDP
The forex markets turned quieter in Asian session today with minimal movements. Dollar is consolidating this week's strong gain but there is no sign of extended pullback for now. There is still prospect for more upside before weekly close, and U of Michigan consumer sentiment and inflation expectation would...
Euro Declines After ECB Opens Door for Rate Cuts, Dollar Eases Following PPI Data
Euro weakens broadly following ECB's decision to maintain interest rates unchanged, coupled with explicit suggestions of a potential rate cut ahead. However, selloff has been relatively mild, primarily because ECB's statement didn't serve as a definitive pre-announcement of rate cuts, unlike its 2022 guidance on rate hike. Moreover, the...
Dollar Holds Strong as June Rate Cut Expectations Wane; ECB to be Non-Event
Dollar remains firm in Asian session after the strong post-CPI rally. US stocks were deeply sold off as a June Fed rate cut is further priced out by the markets. Market attention is now keenly focused on the upcoming PPI for March, as well as University of Michigan's consumer...
US CPI Sparks Strong Dollar Rebound, USD/JPY Breaks 152
Dollar is having a strong, broad-based rebound in early US session, driven by upside surprises in CPI data. The concern for Fed stems not just from the headline inflation spurred by rising energy costs. But more significantly, core inflation failed to slow again, arguing that disinflation progress has stalled...
Kiwi Rallies on RBNZ’s Hawkish Hold; US CPI and BoC Next
New Zealand Dollar rises broadly in Asian session following RBNZ's decision to keep interest rates steady. The central bank's "limited tolerance" for delaying the achievement of its inflation target conveyed a hawkish tone. Rate cuts are off the table until the central bank is confidence that inflation would sustainably...
Dollar Declines Without Clear Cause: Strategic Positioning Before Inflation Data?
Dollar falls broadly today and stays weak as markets enter into US session. The underlying cause of this sell-off remains somewhat ambiguous, as there were no significant economic data releases to directly attribute the currency's selloff. The slight retreat in treasury yields, specifically the 10-year yield just gyrating between...
Kiwi Unfazed by Business Confidence Slide, Aussie Maintains Solid Ground
New Zealand Dollar traded broadly higher in Asian session, despite revelation of significant downturn in business confidence for Q1. Kiwi bears seemed to be lightening up their short positions in anticipation of RBNZ rate decision tomorrow, which is broadly expected to maintain interest rate at 5.50%. The market's recent...
Swiss Franc and Yen Soft on Rising Yields and Metals
Benchmark treasury yields in US and Europe rise notably in a day of relatively slow news flow. At the same time, Copper is extending recent up trend while Gold edged higher to new record. European stock indexes are seeing appreciable gains, and US futures indicate a positive start.
These development...
Precious Metals Shine as Global Markets Await Central Bank Decisions and Data
As Asian session unfolded, the forex markets have been relatively quiet. Precious metals, on the other hand, are making headlines with Gold soaring above new record high above 2350 mark and Silver also rallies significantly. Nikkei is having a notable rebound even though 40k psychological level could remain a...
Inflation Fears Resurface as Commodities Spike, Thwarting Central Bank Easing Hopes
Global financial markets are bracing for potential upheaval as geopolitical strains drive gold to new record while oil prices surge. This surge, alongside the rally in metals like Copper, ignites concerns over an inflation comeback. Such inflationary pressures, combined with a revival in manufacturing and service sectors, could deter...
NFP Fuels Dollar Surge, Canadian Jobs Drag Loonie
Dollar rises broadly in early US session in response to surprisingly strong non-farm payroll data. Dollar's ascent is notably pronounced the Canadian Dollar, which simultaneously grapples with its own disappointing employment figures. But against others, the overall strength of the greenback remains somewhat contained for now. The picture could...
BoJ Ueda’s Rate Hike Musings Propel Yen, Dollar Regains Ground on Risk Aversion
Japanese Yen rebounded broadly in Asian session today, shot up by comments from BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda regarding the conditions for future interest rate hikes. Ueda's discussion, while not immediately setting the stage for rate increases, could be taken as a sign to prepare the markets for such a...
Swiss Franc Plummets on CPI Data Which Fuels Expectations of Further SNB Easing
Swiss Franc faced broad selling pressure in European session, driven by CPI lower than CPI data. Inflation in Switzerland slowed to its lowest since September 2021 at 1.0%, and remained within the SNB's target range for the tenth consecutive month. This development sparked speculation among market participants about the...
Fed Powell and Soft Data Dampen Dollar, While Commodity Boom Propels Aussie
Dollar was sold off overnight after weaker than expected ISM Services data, and the weakness persisted following comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Powell downplayed the significance of recent robust labor and inflation figures, suggesting them as fluctuations in "bumpy road" of moderating demand and inflation. This narrative reinforces...
Markets Unmoved by Eurozone CPI and US ADP Reports, Await Further Cues
The forex markets showed rather muted response to the latest batch of economic data released today. Euro has continued its near-term recovery, unaffected by Eurozone's lower than expected CPI flash data coming. This lack of response likely stems from the understanding that a slight miss in CPI figures does...